One in 10 Republicans less likely to vote for Trump after guilty verdict, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/one-10-republicans-less-likely-vote-trump-after-guilty-verdict-reutersipsos-poll-2024-05-31/This is the first poll taken after the conviction, and has us at 41% Biden/39% Trump
Actual voting preferences differ only slightly from one the same pollster took in early May, which had us at 35% Biden/36% Trump.
Having a solid sense of how the conviction will impact things will likely take a week or so as news percolates and people talk.
I'll also note that these to polls are polls of adults, which tend to favor Trump by a little bit more than polls of registered voters or of likely voters.
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